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One point. That is what separates Alex de Minaur from Rafael Jodar on Sunday morning, and it is enough to put the Australian inside the qualifying places for the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (Nov. 15-22). By reaching the Vienna final on Saturday, de Minaur climbed to 3,210 points in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin, one more than Jodar, and took the ninth place, the last one in with Jannik Sinner out for the rest of the season.
Sunday can make that move much bigger. If de Minaur beats Carlos Alcaraz in the final, he will climb to 3,380 points, 171 clear of Jodar. If he loses, he stays on 3,210, still a point ahead.
Race to Turin after Saturday’s semifinals
| # | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Zverev Qualified · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 1, bye) |
9,350 | |
| 2 | Jannik Sinner Out for the season |
7,950 | |
| 3 | Carlos Alcaraz Qualified · Vienna final · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 2, bye) |
4,810 | |
| 4 | Ben Shelton Qualified · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 3, bye) |
4,530 | |
| 5 | Daniil Medvedev Qualified · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 4, bye) |
3,860 | |
| Qualified: 4 of 8 places | |||
| 6 | Flavio Cobolli Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 5, bye) |
3,690 | |
| 7 | Arthur Fils Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 6, bye) |
3,535 | |
| 8 | Frances Tiafoe Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 7, bye) |
3,430 | |
| 9 | Alex de Minaur Vienna final · ▲1 · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 8, bye) |
3,210 | |
| Last place in: 9th | |||
| 10 | Rafael Jodar ▼1 · Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 9, vs. Alejandro Tabilo) |
3,209 | |
| 11 | Novak Djokovic Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 10, vs. Valentin Vacherot) |
2,900 | |
| 12 | Taylor Fritz Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 11, vs. a qualifier) |
2,895 | |
| 13 | Tommy Paul Next: Rolex Paris Masters (No. 12, vs. Holger Rune) |
2,775 | |
PIF ATP Live Race to Turin, points since Jan. 1, before Sunday’s Vienna final. “Next”: seeding and first-round opponent at the Rolex Paris Masters, where the seeds have a first-round bye. Sinner is out for the season, so ninth place is the last place in.
De Minaur got there by beating Alexander Zverev, who will become world No. 1 on Monday, 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 (4) in the semifinals, his first win over the German outside team events after eight defeats. The Australian is now 10-0 indoors this season and has 21 wins at ATP 500 level in 2026, the most on tour, making him only the fourth man since the series began in 2009 to reach that number in a season.
What the Vienna final is worth for de Minaur
| Sunday | De Minaur | Jodar | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loses the final | 3,210 | 3,209 | +1 |
| Wins the title | 3,380 | 3,209 | +171 |
Either way, de Minaur stays ninth after this week: the title would leave him below Frances Tiafoe’s 3,430.
Alcaraz, already qualified, leads their head-to-head 6-0 and is unbeaten at ATP 500 level this season. The Spaniard reached the final by beating Daniil Medvedev 6-4, 7-6 (2).
Zverev, Alcaraz, Ben Shelton and Medvedev have qualified. The four other places are held this morning by Flavio Cobolli (3,690), Arthur Fils (3,535), Frances Tiafoe (3,430) and de Minaur (3,210), with Jodar one point behind. No one else is still playing this week.
Taylor Fritz’s week ended in the Basel semifinals, where he lost to Valentin Vacherot 7-6 (5), 6-3. He stays on 2,895 points.
Jodar loses ninth place in the Race, but Saturday also brought him a milestone: the 20-year-old Spaniard is now certain to enter the top 10 of the PIF ATP Rankings for the first time.
Sources: PIF ATP Live Race to Turin; ATP media notes, Erste Bank Open (Vienna), Saturday, Oct. 31; 2026 ATP Rulebook (4.01, 9.03).
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