Voltar
Sunday afternoon’s Week 7 NFC North rivalry matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions won’t deliver nearly the hatred we get to see between Green Bay and Chicago. What this upcoming matchup lacks in bad blood, however, it should make up for with big plays and points in a clash of playoff contenders who each might have a shot at 30-burgers.
Let’s dive into our bold predictions for Sunday’s Packers vs Lions matchup.
The last time the Packers lost, Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson received 31 touches and turned them into 213 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns. Detroit should aim to give Jahmyr Gibbs a relatively similar workload on Sunday afternoon. The Lions’ offense already boasts the fifth-highest Rush Success rate (46.2 percent) in the NFL this season, and it’s facing a defense that ranks 25th in Success Rate (45.5 percent) allowed on the ground. Green Bay is also even worse without linebacker Edgerrin Cooper and defensive tackle Javon Hargrave, making this a ripe matchup for Detroit to exploit. In a game where we expect Gibbs to receive 28-plus touches, he’ll turn those opportunities into 180-plus scrimmage yards and two touchdowns.
The breakout year Green Bay hoped to get from Matthew Golden is happening. In his second NFL season, Golden currently ranks seventh in yards per reception (16.7) and sixth in receiving yards (501). Even with some drops mixed in, he’s put up 100-plus receiving yards in three of his last four games, and the lone outlier (Oct. 4) came with a touchdown against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Assuming D.J. Reed sees more time in coverage against Christian Watson, Golden should be able to thrive in his matchup against Ennis Rakestraw Jr. We certainly wouldn’t rule out 100-plus yards and a score, but we’ll make the slightly more conservative projection by saying Golden finds the end zone or hits the 100-yard mark.
Jared Goff has been sensational this season from the pocket. Entering Week 7, he boasts a 111.3 passer rating with 12 passing touchdowns and a 67 percent completion rate, averaging nearly 300 passing yards per game. With Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams drawing coverage from Brandon Cisse and Keisean Nixon, there’ll be ample opportunities for Goff to maintain his perfect TD-INT ratio and push closer to 2,000 passing yards on the season. On the other side, now that he has adequate pass protection, Jordan Love is playing MVP-caliber football and about to take on a defense that has allowed the fourth-highest completion rate (68.1 percent) and the most passing yards per game (297.4) to opponents. We’re expecting a shootout, with Love (275-plus passing yards and 3 touchdowns) and Goff (260-plus yards and two touchdowns) challenging for 600-plus total yards.
Home-field advantage does matter here, but it’s not a major difference-maker since both offenses should thrive playing indoors. What we view as the biggest X-factor in this Packers vs. Lions matchup is the defense we trust more. Even without Micah Parsons, Green Bay has allowed the third-lowest scoring rate (29.9 percent) and the 10th-fewest points per drive (1.85), whereas Detroit has allowed the eighth-highest scoring rate (44.4 percent) and the most points per drive (2.81). The Lions’ ability to run the football and the return of Brian Branch means there is a very good chance they come out on top at home. However, with Josh Jacobs rejoining the Packers’ offense in Week 7, we’ll give Green Bay the slight edge because of a higher level of confidence in its defense generating a few more stops.