Back
Two running backs have been polarizing in recent weeks: Chase Brown and Jonah Coleman. Brown, a Cincinnati Bengals player, has seen Samaje Perine impinge on his usage. Coleman, a Denver Broncos player, has risen to the starting job. This week's rankings find each running back close together. Which, if not both, have RB1 upside in Week 9? Let's embrace the debate.
Brown has the following snap and usage splits:
Brown has endured a slight volume dip recently, with a 65% snap rate over the last three games. Much of this, however, is thanks to a Week 5 game script that let Perine take over as more efficient, with one more run-snap record (14 to 13). Since then, the Bengals have kept Brown in his regular role.
Coleman has a unique case. He returned from injury in Week 7. The following lists Coleman snap and usage splits over his last two games:
The Broncos are currently without RJ Harvey, who is on the injured reserve. JK Dobbins has moved to the backup role. Coleman and Dobbins run with a similar skill set, both shorter than 5'11" and weighing in the 215- 225-ish range. They thrive best between the tackles.
Given that fact, they can't run a versatile one-two punch like other running back rooms. Instead, I expect Coleman to take charge and become a major fantasy football asset.
It appears Coleman is trending toward a larger rushing volume on his offense. He certainly has the higher ceiling. Brown seems to plateau around 75% of his rushing offense, but Coleman could make Dobbins irrelevant and take a 75% or higher share.
As for projections, we must err on the side of caution, but note that Coleman's ceiling is higher in terms of projected ball-carrying volume.
The biggest bonus comes from running back in the receiving game. Especially in PPR formats, a player can rise to elite status.
Brown is averaging the following, per game, so far this season:
Coleman's last two games obviously feature a small sample size, but the following showcases what he has to offer in the receiving offense, per game:
Don't expect Coleman to be a breakout pass-catcher. The Broncos ultimately have a deep pass-catching depth chart. The Broncos have 14 pass-catchers who have caught a pass this season, and 8 pass-catchers who average at least one reception per game.
The final verdict can rely on each players' matchup in Week 8.
Brown and the Bengals compete against the Atlanta Falcons this week. Their defense ranks third-worst in EPA per Rush Allowed and allows 1.12 rushing touchdowns per Game.
Coleman and the Broncos compete against the Carolina Panthers this week. Their defense ranks 7th-worst in EPA per Rush Allowed and dead last in Rushing Touchdowns Allowed per Game (1.7).
Chase Brown is the right answer. He is a whole tier higher in my Week 9 Projections. Brown has the receiving edge, with expectations of ~2 more receptions per game and the yards that come with them.
His role is less rigid, and while the matchup looks tough on paper, volume trumps it. Brown should have plenty of touches, regardless of the game script. If the Falcons close the run game, Brown can still score through the air. He is generally matchup-proof.
The Bengals are then the significantly better offense. They rank 6th in EPA per play, whereas the Broncos rank 20th.
Back
Szczyt
| Oświadczenie o prywatności Warunki użytkowania Kontakt z nami |
Odśwież
|
All the best breaking news stories from Apex Scores Lite. Optimised for feature phones and low end Android devices, Apex Scores Lite helps users with legacy devices and poor network connectivity access the latest football news and live scores. Particularly relevant for breaking football news in Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa.