After a positive start to the season, Sheffield Wednesday have hit a few bumps result-wise recently, leading to Henrik Pedersen being sacked. Their poor results of late have also impacted their predicted finish this season.

Before the season, Opta’s supercomputer predicted Wednesday would miss out on the automatics and the play-offs, finishing 11th. They had just a 3.4% chance of winning the league before a ball had been kicked.

Then after five games, the Owls had managed to push themself up the predicted table. At the time, Wednesday were predicted to finish 3rd, with an 11% chance of winning the league, 21.14% of going up automatically, and a 30.4% probability of going up via the play-offs.

But a run of draws and defeats has once again turned their predicted finish on its head.

Sheffield Wednesday Fall Further Down Opta’s Predicted League One Table

The last time we checked the supercomputer’s predictions, Sheffield Wednesday had drawn three in a row and had missed a few games because of the international break.

At that time (October 13th), the Owls were predicted to finish 8th with 71.32 points. They had a 6.18% chance of winning the league and a 30.86% probability of going up via the play-offs.

Now, on the morning of October 31st, Sheffield Wednesday are predicted to finish 10th with 66.24 points. That’s a point increase of 47.24 this season.

As well as their final league table and points total falling, so have their odds of winning the league and promotion via the play-offs. Wednesday have a 1.32% chance of winning the league, a 3.96% chance of going up automatically, and an 18.78% probability of going up via the play-offs according to the supercomputer.

What’s the Probability of Wednesday Finishing in Each Spot?

Opta also break down how likely the Owls are to finish in each spot in League One come the end of the season. Wednesday’s probability of finishing in each spot:

• 1st – 1.32%
• 2nd – 2.64%
• 3rd – 3.32%
• 4th – 4.46%
• 5th – 5.02%
• 6th – 5.98%
• 7th – 6.26%
• 8th – 6.78%
• 9th – 7.64%
• 10th – 7.50%
• 11th – 7.10%
• 12th – 6.98%
• 13th – 6.48%
• 14th – 6.14%
• 15th – 4.98%
• 16th – 4.74%
• 17th – 3.84%
• 18th – 3%
• 19th – 1.86%
• 20th – 1.66%
• 21st – 1%
• 22nd – 0.68%
• 23rd – 0.36%
• 24th – 0.26%.

Who Are the Favourites to Win League One?

As things stand, Huddersfield Town are favourites to win the league. The Terriers have a 27.78% probability of winning the league and are predicted to finish the season on 81.87 points. Huddersfield are currently top of the table with 25 points, picking up 2.08 points per game.

Stockport County are just behind them, predicted to finish second with 77.97 points. They have a 15.32% probability of winning the league according to Opta. Stockport are currently second with 23 points, picking up 1.77 points per game.

The other real contenders according to Opta are Oxford United (14.64%) and Bradford City (10.72%). While other teams have slim chances using the supercomputer:

• Luton Town – 8.28%
• Plymouth Argyle – 6.84%
• Mansfield Town – 5.62%
• Reading – 4.4%
• Leicester City – 2.64%.