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The Raptors Can’t Stop Missing 3s. Is There a Fix?

The Toronto Raptors are generating more shot opportunities than any team in the NBA, but poor shooting is holding back its offense.

Darko Rajakovic watches play against the Chicago Bulls. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The Toronto Raptors have looked like one of the NBA’s best defensive teams to start the season. Their offense is another story.

Toronto made just 17 of 65 3-point attempts (26.2%) through its first two games, ranking 28th in the league. Sunday’s 117-94 loss to Minnesota made matters worse, with the Raptors shooting 10-for-48 (20.8%) from 3-point range. Scottie Barnes had the worst shooting night of his career, going 0-for-12 from the field, including five misses from three.

Barnes' performance was an anomaly, but the team's overall shooting woes are part of a trend.

The numbers tell the story

Scottie Barnes shoots over Anthony Davis. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Barnes, RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley are combined 10-for-48 (20.8%) from beyond the arc. Kawhi Leonard made four of 14 3-pointers in his first two games before a left knee injury sidelined him.

The shooting struggles are wasting one of Toronto’s biggest strengths. According to NBA.com's John Schuhmann, The Raptors average 13.5 more shot opportunities per game than their opponents, the largest margin in the NBA. Yet they rank 19th in offensive rating.

The looks are there

RJ Barrett shoots the ball against the Minnesota Timberwolves. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The Raptors aren’t simply settling for difficult shots. Schuhmann wrote that Fifty-six percent of their 3-point attempts have been wide open, the seventh-highest rate in the league. They just aren’t making them.

Sunday’s loss showed how costly that can be against a contender. Toronto forced 23 turnovers and generated 12 more shot opportunities than Minnesota, which entered the game with the NBA’s top-ranked defense, but still lost by 23 points.

Can it improve?

Darko Rajakovic reacts against the Washington Wizards. | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Toronto has finished in the bottom 10 in 3-point percentage in each of the past four seasons. Last year, the Raptors shot 35.4% from deep, ranking 21st, while finishing 26th in 3-point attempts.

Scottie Barnes shot 30.4% from deep last season, while RJ Barrett shot 33.9%. Center Jakob Poeltl gives defenses little reason to worry about a 3-point shot.

The Raptors should find more looks for Ja’Kobe Walter, who shot 40.9% from 3 last season, the best mark among Toronto’s regular rotation players, on just 3.7 attempts per game.

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