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Leicester City fans question promotion hopes as 90-point target looms
Will Alves of Leicester City during the Leicester City training session on November 09, 2026 in Leicester, England
Photo by Plumb Images/Leicester City FC via Getty Images

Promotion should be a guarantee on paper, however, they are 10th heading into the second international break of the season, and there is no confidence to say that they will go up in May.

TalkingPoints

We're almost a quarter of the way through the season. Where do you think Leicester will finish at the end of the season and why? Champions? Play-offs? Midtable? Or even a relegation battle? 🤷‍♂️

Leicester fans are right to dismiss the idea of automatic promotion

In their 143-year history, the Foxes have never finished lower than first in the third tier and this is only the second time they have been a League One club.

Fans on TalkingPoints aren’t delusional either with many claiming that Russell Martin’s men will only finish as high as the play-offs, but others think it could even be midtable.

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brogan

Surely they can’t do any better than play offs? Even with so many games to go catching up the leaders (given how inconsistent they’ve been) feels like a HUGE stretch

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will.butcher

Play offs at best. I imagine between 7th and 12th. Very mediocre, which is damning against Martin given the squad they have

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With 19 points from 13 games, reaching that illustrious target of 90 points seems a world away. They would need to acquire 71 points from the remaining 33 games, which equates to an average of 2.15 points per game. Right now, Leicester are only averaging 1.46, meaning they would need to have a near-flawless end to the campaign.

Teams in League One have required an average of 92.6 points across the last five seasons to secure second place whereas the play-off winners have needed an average of 83.4 points. The latter is far more realistic

Season Champions Runners-up Play-off winners
2021/22 Wigan Athletic (92) Rotherham United (90) Sunderland (84)
2022/23 Plymouth Argyle (101) Ipswich Town (98) Sheffield Wednesday (96)
2023/24 Portsmouth (97) Derby County (92) Oxford United (77)
2024/25 Birmingham City (111) Wrexham (92) Charlton Athletic (85)
2025/26 Lincoln City (103) Cardiff City (91) Bolton Wanderers (75)
Five-season average 100.8 92.6 83.4

Their wage bill gives them a significant advantage but then you look at the business they have done and wonder if it has been as successful as first perceived.

Sammy Braybrooke, Louis Page and Will Alves have all been the stars of the show but are academy graduates whereas marquee arrivals Conor Chaplin, Wes Burns and Will Smallbone have all flattered to deceive.

Emil Riis is the best striker in the league but even he can’t do it himself. All of those players are on high wages, and Martin is probably the best-paid manager in the division, so they should be performing better.

Leicester fans know where this team is at and their view that finishing in the play-offs at best is not one out of expectation, more realisation.

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