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NFL Week 7 kicked off with a bang, as the Chicago Bears put on an offensive showcase on Thursday Night Football to take down the New England Patriots. It should set the tone nicely for a great slate of games this weekend, which takes us right into our NFL picks this week.
Let’s dive into our NFL Week 7 predictions for all of Sunday’s matchups and the Monday Night Football clash between the Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles.
The key we’re focused on in Week 7 for the Pittsburgh Steelers is their ability to run the football. It hasn’t exactly been an area of great consistency for the club, as evidenced by four games with fewer than 95 rushing yards while ranking a modest 14th in Rush Success rate (40.5%). However, the New Orleans Saints arrive in Paris having allowed the highest Rush EPA (-0.0003) in the NFL and the third-most rushing yards per game (138). We think Jaylen Warren can rip off a few runs of 20-plus yards in this one, reaching the 100-yard mark, and Pittsburgh’s defense can rattle Tyler Shough enough for the Steelers to win it at Stade de France.
Give us the upset in Week 7, with the Atlanta Falcons ending the San Francisco 49ers’ undefeated start to the 2026 NFL season. What really hurts San Francisco on Sunday are all the injuries. Brock Purdy’s been outstanding when targeting Mike Evans on third down, but the 49ers’ quarterback will now be stuck with Brandin Cooks and Jacob Cowing as his top receivers. That should help Atlanta’s pass rush dial up some more pressure, and we’re pretty confident in their ability to contain Christian McCaffrey on the ground all the while having success with Bijan Robinson. This would be a big win for Atlanta, while San Francisco can just head home with a 6-1 record thankful to finally be entering its bye week.
Fortunately for the Cleveland Browns, defensive tackle Mason Graham and running back Quinshon Judkins are both making their returns to the field in Week 7. That bodes very well for a rushing attack that has needed a spark, and there will be opportunities to have success on the ground for Judkins, given the Tennessee Titans have allowed 122.5 rushing yards per game this season. Cleveland is the better-coached team and it has more talent on both sides of the football, so the winner here feels obvious even if it should be a very close game. There aren’t a ton of great reasons to watch this matchup, but seeing rookie receivers Carnell Tate, Denzel Boston, and KC Concepcion is one of the few.
It’s certainly plausible that this is one of those matchups that finishes as a one-score game but isn’t played as closely as the final numbers tell you. However, we see reasons to believe the Minnesota Vikings can win in blowout fashion on Sunday afternoon. For one thing, Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones is historically abysmal when under duress, with his decision-making against the blitz prone to result in multiple turnovers. It’s exactly the kind of quarterback that defensive coordinator Brian Flores loves to face. Furthermore, Minnesota should be able to dial up some explosive passing plays downfield against this struggling Colts secondary.
Baker Mayfield finally makes his return to the field in Week 7 in what feels like a must-win game for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. However, top wideout Emeka Egbuka will be inactive on Sunday, and a weak pass rush is a problem when you’re facing a quarterback who has been lights-out from clean pockets this season. Carolina has the better starting quarterback, receiving corps, and a rushing offense that has proven to be more steady through the first two months of the season. Just as importantly, we have far more confidence in the Panthers coaching staff than we do Todd Bowles.
It would be an indictment of Aaron Glenn if the New York Jets don’t win this game. Geno Smith is playing some good football this year, and there will be plenty of chances to pepper Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell, and Omar Cooper Jr. with targets against this Miami Dolphins secondary. On the other side of the ball, New York shouldn’t have much trouble limiting Miami’s downfield passing game, and the talent gap between these two rosters should be fairly apparent. This is certainly a game the Jets could mess around in and barely hang on in the end, but we’ll bet on the likes of Smith, Wilson, and New York’s pass rush to win it more decisively.
This is the kind of matchup where we’d expect J.J. McCarthy to fall back to earth. Making his first start as the New York Giants quarterback, he’s going to face a ton of heat from the Houston Texans’ pass rush. We’ve seen more than enough from McCarthy’s career to doubt his ability to handle that with poise, and his tendency to just throw the football up into tight windows is a very dangerous game to play against Houston’s secondary. Malik Nabers and Isaiah Likely will put up some good numbers, but the Texans will outclass New York on Sunday afternoon at Reliant Stadium.
Review: It comes down to whether or not Lamar Jackson plays. He returned to practice for the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday and Friday, then told reporters he’s “heading in the right direction” regarding his status for Sunday. For the time being, we’ll operate under the assumption he suits up versus the Cincinnati Bengals. That would allow Baltimore to truly take advantage of Cincinnati’s vulnerabilities defensively, primarily attacking the middle areas of the field. If Jackson can’t go, Joe Burrow will have his moments attacking Marlon Humphrey with Ja’Marr Chase, and Cincinnati comes out of Week 7 with a 34-24 win over the Ravens.
Review: This should be the highest-scoring game in Week 7. The Detroit Lions might have a bit more confidence entering Sunday’s matchup about an imminent defensive turnaround, and their front four will not have any trouble generating pressure against this offensive line. With that said, we haven’t seen anything this year from Detroit’s cornerbacks that would suggest they can stick with Matthew Golden and Christian Watson in coverage, which is an even bigger problem given how much Jordan Love craves to attack teams deep downfield. That sets up a shootout, but the Green Bay Packers defense has proven itself more capable thus far at generating stops.
Bo Nix might try and force some things in this one, attempting to quiet the narrative surrounding him as the Denver Broncos’ biggest weakness. Playing that way, especially against the Arizona Cardinals, can be a recipe for an upset. However, we have far too much confidence in Denver defensively to believe it will let this one slip away.
Puka Nacua (calf) is a game-time decision for this Week 7 matchup, and with all the injuries the Los Angeles Rams are dealing with, we’re inclined to pick the Las Vegas Raiders. Brock Bowers shouldn’t have any trouble getting open for big plays against Los Angeles, and even Tre Tucker could get open for a long touchdown given the absences in the Rams secondary. So, as long as Kirk Cousins doesn’t turn it over twice, we’ll take Las Vegas to win it at home.
It’s a revenge game for Kenneth Walker and an opportunity for the Kansas City Chiefs running back to snap his former team’s streak of consecutive games without allowing a 100-yard rusher. While defensively the Seattle Seahawks are up for the challenge, we don’t like Sam Darnold’s matchup against Steve Spagnuolo’s unit. Darnold will turn it over twice and with Seattle also not able to run the ball effectively, the Chiefs win in Seattle on Sunday Night Football.
The Philadelphia Eagles do welcome back Saquon Barkley for a Monday Night Football matchup against a defense that has allowed the most rushing yards per game (149.8) in the NFL. Effectiveness on the ground and a great night defensively are the only semblance of a path to victory for Philadelphia. However, we’ll take the Dallas Cowboys offense to bounce back on the national stage, with Dak Prescott accounting for three touchdowns in a tight victory that keeps Dallas’ NFC East title hopes alive.