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USC Trojans Bowl Projection Ahead of Pivotal Indiana Game

The No. 20 USC Trojans control their own destiny to reach the program's first College Football Playoff appearance.

USC Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley walks the sideline during the NCAA football game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Oct. 31, 2026. Ohio State lost 30-18. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Three games remain for the No. 20 USC Trojans and a potential spot in the Big Ten Championship Game and the College Football Playoff. The first of two games against top-10-ranked teams takes place on Saturday, when the Trojans travel to Bloomington to face the No. 4 Indiana Hoosiers.

Fresh off a signature win over the then No. 2-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Halloween, the Trojans come out of the bye week looking to shock the world again as they take on Coach Curt Cignetti’s defending national champion Hoosiers. 

Oct 31, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Southern California Trojans head coach Lincoln Riley watches game action against the Ohio State Buckeyes during the first half at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

CFP aspirations will be on the line for both teams, and for Coach Lincoln Riley’s squad, the matchup against the Hoosiers allows them the opportunity to add another signature win to their resume. 

The Trojans (7-2 overall, 4-2 Big Ten) are looking to make the College Football Playoff for the first time in program history. It’s a milestone a passionate fanbase has long waited for, as they’ve fallen short twice under Riley. Here’s a prediction for which bowl game the Trojans will play in following their second bye week and ahead of the pivotal matchup against the Hoosiers. 

USC Bowl Projection: Trojans On Cusp of CFP

USC Trojans defensive tackles Floyd Boucard (88) and Jide Abasiri (97) celebrate an interception during the NCAA football game at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Oct. 31, 2026. Ohio State lost 30-18. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

The Hoosiers are a very beatable team, as they’ve had close calls recently against the Michigan Wolverines and Minnesota Golden Gophers. While both teams are coming off a bye week ahead of Saturday’s matchup, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Trojans pull off the upset.

The Trojans' offense is clicking as one of the best in the Big Ten under quarterback Jayden Maiava, who is as consistent as any in the country. USC’s defense under Gary Patterson is also playing much better than in previous seasons. 

Indiana Head Coach Curt Cignetti during the Indiana versus Minnesota football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

No purchase necessary. 50 U.S./D.C. 18+. Entry opens 3PM ET Dec 6, 2026 and closes 8PM ET Dec 18, 2026. Void where prohibited. See for complete details. The College Football Playoff (CFP) is not a sponsor or administrator of this contest.

The biggest question is whether the Trojans also go on the road and upset the No. 8 UCLA Bruins, one of two remaining undefeated teams in the country, along with the No. 3 Utah Utes. The Trojans have won two straight games in their Crosstown Rivalry series against the Bruins and are looking to retain the Victory Bell and spoil UCLA’s undefeated season at the Rose Bowl.

The way things stand heading into their matchup against the Hoosiers, the Trojans are just outside of the CFP. Despite the optimism heading into their final three regular-season games, I still think the Trojans fall short of the CFP, losing to either the Hoosiers or UCLA to finish 9-3 for the second consecutive season. 

The Trojans are currently fourth in the Big Ten to win the Big Ten championship at +900, according to the latest FanDuel Sportsbook betting odds. Just ahead of them are the Indiana Hoosiers (+100), UCLA Bruins (+280), and Oregon Ducks (+650).

USC Trojans Projected Bowl Opponent: BYU Cougars

Nov 7, 2026; Salt Lake City, Utah, USA; Brigham Young Cougars quarterback Bear Bachmeier (47) prepares to throw the ball during the first quarter against the Utah Utes at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rob Gray-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

This will place the Trojans in the Alamo Bowl in San Antonio for the second consecutive season, where they look for redemption after losing 30-27 in overtime to the TCU Horned Frogs. USC's Alamo Bowl opponent this time around will be the No. 9 BYU Cougars.

Once ranked No. 2 in the country following their upset home win over the No. 11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Oct. 17, the Cougars have suffered two losses and could be one of the first teams left out of the CFP, meaning they’ll play the Trojans in the Alamo Bowl.

This season, the Cougars have lost a double-overtime heartbreaker to the UCF Knights and recently fell to their arch-rival, the No. 3 Utah Utes. For the Alamo Bowl, the Cougars will be a tough and exciting matchup for Riley’s Trojans, as their talented offense, led by quarterback Bear Bachmeier, will challenge USC’s defense.

The quarterback duel between Bachmeier and Maiava should also be a very exciting matchup, as both quarterbacks have thrown for over 2,000 yards this season. Bachmeier enters the Cougars Week 11 matchup against the Baylor Bears with a total of 2,022 yards, 13 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. 

The Trojans and Cougars have met four previous times, with the series tied at 2-2. The Cougars recently earned wins over the Trojans in the 2019 and 2021 seasons, as USC’s last win over BYU came in 2004 in Provo, a game they won in a 42-10 rout. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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