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Oregon Ducks' CFP chances double after Northwestern win, per ESPN FPI

It's been a roller-coaster of a season for the Oregon Ducks, with many highs and lows experienced through the first nine weeks. The Ducks entered with championship aspirations, felt early doubt and frustration, and then hope despite turmoil as backup quarterback Dylan Riola appeared to be the answer following Dante Moore's injury.

However, then came the pitfalls. The lowest of lows were felt in losses to UCLA and Illinois, but after a win over No. 20 Northwestern on Saturday, it appears that the Ducks might be on a bit of an upswing once again. While some mid-season chaos takes place in the Big Ten, there technically remains a chance that Oregon can make a run at the conference title game and sneak into the College Football Playoff. That much has been reflected in the numbers according to ESPN's Football Power Index.

Of course, for any of that to happen, the Ducks will need to win out, starting with a tough game on the road this week against the Ohio State Buckeyes.

Here's a look at the new FPI numbers from ESPN and what it means for the Ducks.

Week 10 at Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes wide receiver Jeremiah Smith (4) runs past Ball State Cardinals defensive back Willizhuan Yates (4) during the NCAA football game at Ohio Stadium in Columbus on Sept. 5, 2026.

Week 11 vs. Michigan Wolverines

Bryce Underwood #19 of the Michigan Wolverines celebrates after a 13-12 win over the Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan Stadium on September 05, 2026 in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Week 12 at Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State’s Sparty plants an MSU flag in the field prior to a game against Boston College at Spartan Stadium in East Lansing on Saturday, September 6, 2025.

Week 13 vs. Washington Huskies

Sep 6, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA;  Washington Huskies running back Jayden Limar (17) carries the ball for the first down against the Washington State Cougars during the second quarter at Husky Stadium.  Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn Images

Oregon Ducks Season Outlook

Oregon Ducks vs. Boise State Broncos 2026

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