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ESPN predicts final score of FSU vs. Pitt in Week 11

The FSU Seminoles are back on the road this week for a Friday night showdown against the Pitt Panthers. It is an important game for the Seminoles, who are looking to win their second straight game under interim head coach Rick Stockstill.

The FSU alum had an impressive debut last week, with the Seminoles rallying to win 31-24 on the road against the Boston College Eagles. They had a slow start, but were able to make adjustments and held on for the win, their first on the road since 2023.

It was a win they had to have, with them improving to 4-5 overall with the win and 2-4 in ACC play. They will need to win two of their final three games to make a bowl game for the first time since 2023.

While FSU is going to have a short week, Pitt had an extra week to prepare and was on a bye last week. It came at a great time for the Panthers, who have struggled ever since quarterback Mason Heintschel suffered a season-ending injury against the Virginia Tech Hokies on Oct. 2. They lost their next three games before beating the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets the week before the bye.

Ahead of FSU-Pitt, ESPN's Bill Connelly predicted the final score using his SP+ metrics. Connelly has FSU losing 32-24. His metrics give FSU a 33% chance of winning. The Seminoles are 1-12 in their last 13 road games, snapping the 12-game losing streak last week against Boston College

FSU is the No. 49 team in the SP+ team rankings after Week 10. They have an overall rating of 57.6, with a 59.2 rating on offense and a 1.9 rating on defense. Pitt is the No. 35 team and features a 62.3 overall rating. They have a 56.3 offensive rating and a -5.6 defensive rating.

The game between FSU and Pitt starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday in Acrisure Stadium. The game will air on the ACC Network.

FSU football 2026 schedule

  • Aug. 29: vs. New Mexico State Aggies, FSU wins 34-17

  • Sept. 7: vs. SMU Mustangs, FSU loses 27-24

  • Sept. 19: at Alabama Crimson Tide, FSU loses 50-36

  • Sept. 26: vs. Central Arkansas, FSU wins 34-7

  • Oct. 3: vs. Virginia Cavaliers, FSU wins 38-7

  • Oct. 9: at Louisville Cardinals, FSU loses 44-20

  • Oct. 17: at Miami Hurricanes, FSU loses 43-35

  • Oct. 31: vs. Clemson Tigers, FSU loses 36-24

  • Nov. 7: at Boston College Eagles, FSU wins 31-24

  • Nov. 13: at Pitt Panthers, 7 p.m., ESPN

  • Nov. 21: vs. NC State Wolfpack, 3:30 p.m., ACC Network

  • Nov. 27: vs. Florida Gators, 3:30 p.m., ABC

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