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Valence v Real Madrid: Mbappe-backed visitors aim to keep title pressure on Barcelona

Valence are seeking their first home win of the Liga season when they host Real Madrid, who will be looking to stay in touch with FC Barcelona at the top of the table.

The match is scheduled for Saturday, 5 November 2026 at 20:00 GMT. Sports betting expert and Cameroonian journalist Arthur Wandji has backed Real Madrid to win 2-1, with the prediction listed at odds of 9. The betting guide also refers to the fixture as taking place on 7 November 2026.

Valence have won only once in their past five league matches, losing to Real Sociedad (3-2) and Villarreal (2-1), drawing with Racing Santander (2-2) and Athletic Bilbao (0-0), before beating Elche 1-0. That victory ended a difficult run, but their inconsistency has been especially evident at home.

Real Madrid arrive in stronger form after victories over Sevilla FC (4-1), RB Leipzig (4-1), FC Barcelona (2-1), Racing Santander (3-0) and AEK Athens (3-2) in the Champions League on 4 November. They twice came from behind in Athens, underlining their ability to recover during matches.

Valence will be without injured players David Otorbi, Diego Lopez, Kayne van Oevelen and Sergi Canos, while Jose Copete is continuing his return. Diego Lopez’s absence could further reduce the hosts’ attacking options.

Real Madrid remain without Vinicius Junior, who is suspended. Rodrygo and Raul Asencio are also unavailable, while Ferland Mendy is still working his way back to full training. Aurelien Tchouameni and Arda Guler, rested for the trip to Athens, are expected to return to the squad. Federico Valverde is available again after returning to competition.

Kylian Mbappe is the main attacking threat, having scored 12 goals in 11 Liga matches. Jude Bellingham is another important attacking link for the visitors, while Valence will look to Umar Sadiq, who scored against Elche, and Hugo Duro.

The fixture comes during a demanding week for Real Madrid, with successive trips to Racing Santander, AEK Athens and Valence. The European match and travel could affect their freshness, although the expected returns of Tchouameni and Guler should give the manager more options.

Valence have nine points from 11 league games, with two wins, three draws and six defeats. They have scored eight goals, compared with Real Madrid’s 28. Valence have also lost four of their past five home league matches, drawing the other, while Real Madrid have won three of the sides’ past five meetings, alongside one draw and one defeat. Their combined corner average is 10.1.

The recommended markets are a Real Madrid win at 1.31, more than 2.5 goals at 1.43, over 8.5 corners at 1.43, and Mbappe to score at any time at 1.41. The corner projection is 9.2, based on Valence averaging 4.17 at home and Real Madrid six away. Mbappe’s recent goals against FC Barcelona and AEK Athens, combined with Vinicius Junior’s suspension and Valence’s 17 goals conceded, make him the leading scorer selection.

Odds may change.

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