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Preview: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings: Player props, injury report and prediction | NBA

Quick summary Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings, Golden 1 Center, Monday 16 November, 2am GMT (Sunday evening local time)

Tip of the match

Game total Over 222.5 points

Key player prop Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 points

Injury alert Ajay Mitchell (Thunder) Out

The Oklahoma City Thunder, beaten three games in a row, travel to face the Sacramento Kings, who are 1-11 and winless at Golden 1 Center, on Sunday in a meeting that also sends Nique Clifford back to his old club.

Oklahoma City lost 113-112 at the Los Angeles Clippers on Friday despite 40 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, while Sacramento were beaten 120-107 at home by Portland on the same night.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings form and outlook

Form Guide (Last 5)

Oklahoma City Thunder 8-5 · 8th West

WWLLL

113.0 PPG

105.2 Opp PPG

+7.8 Diff

1 day Rest

Sacramento Kings 1-11 · 14th West

LLLLL

105.4 PPG

116.2 Opp PPG

-10.8 Diff

1 day Rest

Oklahoma City arrive 8-5 and eighth in the Western Conference standings, yet their last five games read far worse than the record.

Wins at Memphis and at home to Washington, by 31 and 39 points, were followed by defeats at Portland by 20 and 10 points and then Friday's one-point loss in Los Angeles.

Gilgeous-Alexander's big night was backed by 23 points from Jared McCain, who hit seven three-pointers, and 21 from Isaiah Hartenstein, so the damage came from the bench, where the five reserves who played shot 3-of-24 between them.

Alex Caruso, Nikola Topić and Clifford shared more than 54 minutes on Friday without scoring more than five points in total, which shows how thin the Thunder have become behind their starters.

Tale of the Tape (Season)

Oklahoma City Thunder Sacramento Kings

Thunder -10.5

Def. rating

The season-long numbers explain why Oklahoma City still sit so far clear on paper, with offensive and defensive ratings of 112.7 and 109.0 per 100 possessions against 107.3 and 119.5 for Sacramento.

Sacramento have lost all five of their latest games and conceded at least 107 points in each, with Portland's 120 on Friday coming only three days after a 107-100 home defeat to Orlando.

The Kings' one clear edge is in the passing column, where their 25.0 assists per game beat Oklahoma City's 22.8, a product of Darius Acuff Jr. running an offence with no natural backup point guard since Ben Simmons tore his Achilles.

Turnovers are the other fault line, since the Kings give the ball away more than four times per game more often than the Thunder, and Oklahoma City are 3-5 on the road with this the last game of a four-game trip before the NBA schedule brings them home to host the Atlanta Hawks.

What is the Thunder and Kings team news and likely rotation?

Oklahoma City remain without a large part of their rotation, with Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell and Thomas Sorber all listed out, while Jaylin Williams is day to day with a back problem.

Injury Report

Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren (patellar tendon) Out

Jalen Williams (fibula and ankle) Out

Cason Wallace (shoulder) Out

Ajay Mitchell (ankle) Out

Thomas Sorber (knee) Out

Jaylin Williams (back) Day to day

Sacramento Kings

Precious Achiuwa (ankle) Out

Maxime Raynaud (knee) Out

Ben Simmons (Achilles, out for the season) Out

On Friday the Thunder started Kenrich Williams, Aday Mara, Hartenstein, McCain and Gilgeous-Alexander, with Alex Caruso coming off the bench for 27 minutes, and that group is the likeliest starting five again.

Sacramento are missing Precious Achiuwa and Maxime Raynaud, and Simmons is out for the season, so the Kings should again start Keegan Murray, De'Andre Hunter, Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine and Acuff, the five who began the loss to Portland.

Clifford is the storyline for the visitors, having moved from Sacramento to Oklahoma City on 8 November for two second-round picks, and he played 11 minutes without scoring on Friday.

The matchups that could decide Thunder vs. Kings

Key Matchups

Scoring guards
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
VS

30.5 v 25.4 PPG

4.5 v 7.2 APG

4.2 v 3.8 RPG

33.3 v 37.2 MPG

Last game 40 points on 15-of-26 v 17 points on 6-of-19 Both sides run through these two, so the scorer who gets cleaner looks decides how long the game stays competitive.
Centre duel

10.5 v 13.2 RPG

9.0 v 14.5 PPG

3.8 v 5.8 APG

25.4 v 34.4 MPG

Last game 21 points and 16 rebounds v 21 points and 12 rebounds Sabonis is the Kings' main hub and Hartenstein is the Thunder's main rebounder, so the winner of this duel controls the glass and the tempo.

Gilgeous-Alexander and Acuff carry the scoring load for their sides, and Friday showed both ends of that burden, with Gilgeous-Alexander hitting 15 of 26 shots while Acuff managed six of 19 for 17 points and four turnovers. Acuff's workload is already a talking point, since Doug Christie admitted that 42 minutes in a loss to the Lakers on 4 November was too many.

Underneath, Hartenstein grabbed 16 rebounds on nine-of-10 shooting against the Clippers, while Sabonis answered with 12 rebounds and 21 points against Portland, so the duel between the two centres will shape the glass and the Kings' half-court offence.

Thunder vs. Kings player props to watch

Player Props to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC

Points Over 27.5

30.5 Season avg

31.0 Last 5 avg

13 GP

Both his season and last-five averages sit above the line, and Sacramento allow 121.0 points per game.

Rebounds Over 9.5

10.5 Season avg

11.2 Last 5 avg

13 GP

With Chet Holmgren out, Hartenstein carries the glass for a side that out-rebounds the Kings comfortably.

Assists Over 6.5

7.2 Season avg

8.4 Last 5 avg

12 GP

The Kings have no natural backup point guard, so Acuff creates for most of their possessions.

Thunder and Kings head-to-head record

Season Series

19 Nov 2025 Thunder 113-99 Kings OKC

7 Nov 2025 Thunder 132-101 Kings SAC

28 Oct 2025 Thunder 107-101 Kings OKC

25 Mar 2025 Thunder 121-105 Kings SAC

1 Feb 2025 Thunder 144-110 Kings OKC

25 Nov 2024 Thunder 130-109 Kings SAC

Oklahoma City have won all six regular-season meetings since the start of 2024-25, by an average margin of just over 20 points.

The closest came on 28 October 2025, a 107-101 Thunder win in Oklahoma City, while the biggest was a 144-110 victory in the same city on 1 February 2025.

The last meeting, on 19 November 2025, finished 113-99 with Clifford in a Kings shirt, and rosters on both sides have changed enough since then that the history offers colour more than a reliable guide.

Our Thunder vs. Kings prediction and best bets

The case for Oklahoma City rests on a defence that rates more than 10 points per 100 possessions better than Sacramento's and on a Kings side that has not won at home all season, while the counter-argument is a short-handed Thunder group that has lost three in a row.

Spread Thunder to win by 8 or more Oklahoma City defend far better than Sacramento, who have lost each of their last five games by at least six points.

Total Over 222.5 points Four of six Kings home games and five of eight Thunder road games finished above 220 points.

Prop Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 points With Ajay Mitchell, Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren out, the shot volume runs through him.

Prop Isaiah Hartenstein Over 9.5 rebounds Holmgren's absence leaves Hartenstein and Aday Mara to share the glass, and his recent average clears the line.

Parlay Darius Acuff Jr. Over 6.5 assists and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 points The legs involve different teams and different stat categories, and each player carries the main creating or scoring load for his side.

Score Prediction

Thunder 119-108 Kings Predicted margin 11 points, total 227 points

A double-digit margin looks more realistic than a rout given Oklahoma City's depth problems, and the total should clear the low 220s because neither defence has been holding opponents down, with Sacramento's 101.2 possessions per game a quicker tempo than Oklahoma City's 98.8 and more chances for Acuff to create.

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