Back
The Montreal Canadiens are always looking to improve their lineup, especially when a talent such as Nikita Kucherov becomes available.
The Tampa Bay Lightning star forward has requested a trade and has already been linked to the Habs by several hockey insiders.
Before diving into the details, it’s worth remembering that the Canadiens tend to be connected to nearly every big name on the NHL trade market. Much of that stems from Kent Hughes and his staff doing their due diligence, which doesn’t automatically signal serious interest. A general manager’s job is to understand player value, and that cannot be done without making calls.
There’s also clear financial upside in linking high-profile Canadian teams like the Habs or the Toronto Maple Leafs to major rumours. It generates a surge of interest, whether or not the story has any real legs.
With that context in mind, let’s take a closer look at the Kucherov trade situation, while keeping in mind that plenty of moving pieces are still in play.
According to Kucherov, the primary reason for his trade request was a lack of communication from Lightning management in regards to a potential contract extension. In other words, he felt disrespected by the process. A supremely proud player, he viewed two unproductive conversations over four months as a clear slight.
From a Canadiens perspective, the issues in Tampa Bay are unlikely to affect Kucherov’s interest in playing in Montreal. One of Hughes’ greatest strengths is his commitment to open communication. As a former player agent, Hughes brings a level of insight that many other general managers simply don’t have. He understands exactly how to handle players in every situation, which has helped foster a roster of athletes who are generally quite happy with their roles.
That said, the potential trade itself presents another challenge. If the Lightning are determined to move one of the NHL’s best players before the March 1 deadline, they would almost certainly prefer to avoid dealing with an Atlantic Division rival.
In that vein, Montreal’s best chance of landing a player of Kucherov’s stature would come in the offseason. If he reaches free agency, there’s little doubt the Canadiens would do everything in their power to sign him.
According to most insiders, the Canadiens would rank among the front-runners in any potential move. It makes perfect sense, the Habs are a young, talented team on the rise. A player of Kucherov’s calibre would quickly become a fan favourite, despite his less-than-ideal history with Habs fans.
On the other hand, if a team other than the Canadiens manages to acquire Kucherov in a trade before the deadline, they would almost certainly do so with the intention of signing him to a massive contract extension—effectively removing the Habs from the picture.
After all, any club willing to part with high-end assets for a supremely talented player would want to avoid paying a king’s ransom for just a few months of service.
Of course, a three-team deal could potentially bypass the Atlantic Division concern, but that would still require input from the Lightning, the very team determined to keep Kucherov away from a divisional rival.
With the NHL salary cap rising faster than the tides in the Bay of Fundy, it should come as no surprise that Kucherov will be seeking a contract in the neighbourhood of $20 million per season. That figure may seem steep, especially for a team that went out of its way to lock its star players into value deals before the recent surge, but we’re talking about a truly special talent here.
Kucherov is one of the best players in the NHL, full stop.
We’ll dig deeper into that later in the article, but I’m comfortable saying he’s easily worth $20 million a year.
As for the Canadiens’ salary-cap situation, their economical approach in recent years means they can absolutely absorb a mega-contract, though they may need to move some assets to make it work.
Starting in 2027-28, the NHL salary cap is expected to rise to $113.5 million, an increase of nearly $10 million from the previous season. In 2028-29, it is projected to jump to roughly $128 million, a year-over-year rise of about $14.5 million.
Currently, the Canadiens have $84 million in committed salary for next season, leaving them with approximately $30 million in available space. With only 14 players under contract, they would need to stretch their resources carefully. But with some financial manoeuvring, a $20-million deal for Kucherov would sit comfortably within their means, especially since all of the team’s top players have already signed extensions, with the sole exception of rookie Jacob Fowler.
Some sacrifices would be required, and contract extensions for aging skaters such as Josh Anderson and Phillip Danault would almost certainly need to be reconsidered.
(salary cap information via Puck Pedia)
Even though the Canadiens clearly need help at centre more than on the wing, players of Kucherov’s calibre rarely become available in the NHL. Most are locked into long-term extensions long before they ever reach free agency.
Make no mistake: even though he’s on the wrong side of 30, Kucherov is coming off a 130-point season. To put that in perspective, only one player in the Canadiens’ illustrious history has ever recorded more than 130 points in a single season, and that player is none other than Guy Lafleur, one of the most offensively-gifted talents to ever lace up the skates.
Lafleur achieved the feat twice, posting 136 points in 1976-77 and 132 in 1977-78 while starring for one of the most dominant dynasties in NHL history.
Kucherov’s production is likely to slow somewhat as Father Time, the only undefeated force in sports, continues to catch up with him. However, it would be unfair to suggest he is in the midst of a significant decline.
Since the start of the 2024-25 season, only Nathan MacKinnon has produced more 5v5 points (148) than Kucherov’s 140. MacKinnon played seven additional games over that span, meaning Kucherov has actually been the more productive player relative to ice time over the past three seasons.
(Points per 60 via Natural Stat Trick)
Kucherov also leads all regularly used skaters in power-play production at 7.7 points per 60. That edges out Nick Suzuki’s 7.1 points per 60, which ranks third in the NHL over the past three seasons. Given how the Canadiens’ power play has struggled to generate any semblance of offence in Suzuki’s absence, adding such a player would immediately strengthen a clear area of weakness.
Additionally, Kucherov continues to provide excellent underlying numbers in almost every important statistical category.
He may not be the most charismatic personality, but this isn’t a camping trip. With a respected, stoic captain like Suzuki already in place, Kucherov would likely settle in without issue.
Even though the Canadiens could afford to sign him if he reaches free agency, I’d venture to suggest the odds of Kucherov landing in Montreal in the near future remain quite low. The Lightning are rightly determined to avoid trading him to an Atlantic Division rival.
It’s also difficult to envision any team surrendering a significant package for him at the trade deadline without some form of contract-extension guarantee already secured.
That said, if the stars align, a superstar of his calibre would clearly be an excellent fit on an up-and-coming team, providing the elite impact that Stanley Cup champions need to withstand the rigours of a long playoff run.
All Nikita Kucherov and Montreal Canadiens salary cap information via Puck Pedia. All statistics via Natural Sat Trick.